Cluster 1: Use random sampling to draw inferences about a population. (Supporting Cluster)Archived

Clusters should not be sorted from Major to Supporting and then taught in that order. To do so would strip the coherence of the mathematical ideas and miss the opportunity to enhance the major work of the grade with the supporting clusters.

General Information
Number: MAFS.7.SP.1
Title: Use random sampling to draw inferences about a population. (Supporting Cluster)
Type: Cluster
Subject: Mathematics - Archived
Grade: 7
Domain-Subdomain: Statistics & Probability

Related Standards

This cluster includes the following benchmarks.

Related Access Points

This cluster includes the following access points.

Access Points

MAFS.7.SP.1.AP.1a
Survey a sample population to generate data that represents the total population.
MAFS.7.SP.1.AP.2a
Collect data from a sample size of the population, graph the data, and make inferences about the population based on the data.

Related Resources

Vetted resources educators can use to teach the concepts and skills in this topic.

Formative Assessments

Prediction Predicament:

Students are asked to use sample data to make and assess a prediction.

Type: Formative Assessment

School Days:

Students are asked to use data from a random sample to estimate a population parameter and explain what might be done to increase confidence in the estimate.

Type: Formative Assessment

Movie Genre:

Students are asked to use data from a random sample to draw an inference about a population.

Type: Formative Assessment

Ice Cream Survey:

Students are asked to choose a sampling method that would be most representative of a population and justify their selection.

Type: Formative Assessment

Height Research:

Students are asked to describe a method for collecting data in order to estimate the average height of 12 year old boys in the U.S.

Type: Formative Assessment

Favorite Sport Survey:

Students are asked to evaluate an inference made using a biased sampling method.

Type: Formative Assessment

Estimating: Counting Trees:

This lesson unit is intended to help you assess how well students are able to:

  • Solve simple problems involving ratio and direct proportion.
  • Choose an appropriate sampling method.
  • Collect discrete data and record them using a frequency table.

Includes worksheets and student work examples, including specific feedback and analysis of misconceptions

Type: Formative Assessment

Lesson Plans

Using Box Plots and the Mean Absolute Deviation to Interpret Data:

This lesson explores the use of box plots and the mean absolute deviation to compare two data sets and draw inferences.

Type: Lesson Plan

Analyze Data:

This lesson uses statistical analysis to evaluate data. The data used is from the app created by the students in lesson 2 of the Data Set and Statistics Unit. This lesson also guides students in recognizing the different types of data collected and how the distribution's shape can be affected when graphed at different intervals in histograms. This is the final lesson in the unit.

Type: Lesson Plan

Gather Data For Distribution by Programming an App:

This lesson allow students to gather, calculate, and plot data using both computer code and mathematical equations. In this lesson students will create a pedometer app to demonstrate the understanding of algorithms, components (such as buttons, textboxes, sensors, etc.), and If/Then statements. This lesson uses algebraic equations and random data to access the needed components to store data in a spreadsheet.

Type: Lesson Plan

Data Sets Represented in Computers:

This lesson shows how data can be represented by computers, in relation to everyday activities we may not be aware that we use computer. It gives an overview of graphing data by creating a histogram based on population data. Using the data collected, students will get a chance to hand write code to show what structure is needed for computers to collect, analyze and distribute such data. This lesson is lesson 1 of the Data Set and Deviation Statistics Unit and bridges statistical concepts of data collection, graphing and analysis with programming a computer using coding language while reinforcing foundational algebraic skills.

Type: Lesson Plan

Radioactive Dating Lesson 2:

Students will learn about the importance of using multiple radioactive dating methods to date an artifact as well as learn about the if programming control structure. This is Lesson 2 in the Radioactive Dating Unit and will begin the experience in coding a program to illustrate student understanding of radioactive dating.

Type: Lesson Plan

Sea Ice Analysis Grade 7:

The changing climate is an important topic for both scientific analysis and worldly knowledge. This lesson uses data collected by the National Snow and Ice Data Center to create and use statistical analysis as a tool to evaluate the sea ice loss. Students will use technology to quickly generate graphs for each month looking for trends, patterns, or deviations over time.

Type: Lesson Plan

Sensoring Data:

In this follow up lesson, students will explore data collection using the weather station sensor and perform statistical analysis of the data. Students will use a scientific method of inquiry to plan an investigation of their own. This activity is meant to allow students to use a variety of skills they have acquired throughout a statistics unit in a personally meaningful way.

Type: Lesson Plan

Measurement and Data Collection:

In this interdisciplinary lesson, students will practice the skill of data collection with a variety of tools and by statistically analyzing the class data sets will begin to understand that error is inherent in all data.

This lesson uses the Hip Sciences Sensor Wand and Temperature Probe. Please refer to the corresponding Hip Science Sensor Guide(s) for information on using the sensor.

Type: Lesson Plan

Measurement Data Error:

In this interdisciplinary lesson, students will practice the skill of data collection with a variety of tools and by statistically analyzing the class data sets will begin to understand that error is inherent in all data.

Type: Lesson Plan

Measurement and Data Collection:

In this interdisciplinary lesson, students will practice the skill of data collection with a variety of tools and by statistically analyzing the class data sets will begin to understand that error is inherent in all data.

This lesson uses the Hip Sciences Sensor Wand and Temperature Probe. Please refer to the corresponding Hip Science Sensor Guide(s) for information on using the sensor.

Type: Lesson Plan

Sensoring Data:

In this follow up lesson, students will explore data collection using the weather station sensor and perform statistical analysis of the data. Students will use a scientific method of inquiry to plan an investigation of their own. This activity is meant to allow students to use a variety of skills they have acquired throughout a statistics unit in a personally meaningful way.

Type: Lesson Plan

Hot Coffee Coming Through:

In this lesson, students will explore data collection using the temperature probe sensor and perform statistical analysis of the data. Students will use a scientific method of inquiry to plan an investigation to determine which coffee mug is the best. This activity is meant to allow students to use a variety of skills they have acquired throughout a statistics unit in a problem based STEM challenge. Due to the multiple skills there are many standards that are covered.

There are two options for this lab. The first student handout is for students at an average high school statistics level (Algebra 1) and will allow for standard deviation and graphical analyses of the data. The second option is for advanced students that have been exposed to hypothesis testing of claims (Algebra 2 or AP Stats).

Type: Lesson Plan

Is My Backpack Too Massive?:

This lesson combines many objectives for seventh grade students. Its goal is for students to create and carry out an investigation about student backpack mass. Students will develop a conclusion based on statistical and graphical analysis.

Type: Lesson Plan

Cricket Songs:

Using a guided-inquiry model, students in a math or science class will use an experiment testing the effect of temperature on cricket chirping frequency to teach the concepts of representative vs random sampling, identifying directly proportional relationships, and highlight the differences between scientific theory and scientific law.

Type: Lesson Plan

Populations and Samples:

In this lesson students work through class discussions and activities to identify populations and samples, as well as gain an understanding of the importance of selecting reliable random samples to gain information about a population. Students work in pairs to gather information using a biased sample and random sample to compare data and reflect on possible misconceptions that a biased sample could produce.

Type: Lesson Plan

Statistically Speaking…..:

This lesson will demonstrate how data in a real-world situation can be used to make predictions or inferences. The lesson also will help students become familiar with randomly selecting samples, biased, and unbiased information.

Type: Lesson Plan

Pick Me! Pick Me!:

This lesson focuses on both parts of standard MAFS.7.SP.1.2. Students are provided with an opportunity to create multiple samples of the same size based on a population (which is the classroom.) Then students will analyze these different samples to determine whether the samples are accurate representations of the population. Also, students will make predictions about a population based on a representative sample.

Type: Lesson Plan

And the survey says...:

This short and fun lesson connects random sampling and generalizations to students' real-life situations. The lesson is interactive, participative, and allows for easy modification(s) to meet your class' interests.

Type: Lesson Plan

How Old Are My Employees?:

This lesson provides activities for students to conceptually understand how to estimate an unknown characteristic of a population, the effect of sample size, the effect of multiple samples in same sizes on estimations, and the representativeness of the random sampling. The lesson consists of three tasks followed by group discussion sessions and a whole class discussion session at the end. Teachers use formative assessment by giving feedback after each task.

Type: Lesson Plan

Estimating: Counting Trees:

This lesson unit is intended to help you assess how well students are able to solve simple problems involving ratio and direct proportion, choose an appropriate sampling method, collect discrete data, and record their data using a frequency table.

Type: Lesson Plan

Computer Simulated Experiments in Genetics:

A computer simulation package called "Star Genetics" is used to generate progeny for one or two additional generations. The distribution of the phenotypes of the progeny provide data from which the parental genotypes can be inferred. The number of progeny can be chosen by the student in order to increase the student's confidence in the inference.

Type: Lesson Plan

Selecting a Sample Population:

The student explores several strategies for selecting a sample population to support making inferences about the population.

Type: Lesson Plan

Generating Multiple Samples to Gauge Variation:

Students explore variation in random samples and use random samples to make generalizations about the population.

Type: Lesson Plan

Using Box Plots to Interpret Data:

This lesson explores the creation of box plots to compare two data sets and draw inferences.

Type: Lesson Plan

Original Student Tutorial

Exploring Mean Absolute Deviation: Lionfish:

Compare multiple samples of lionfish to make generalizations about the population by analyzing the samples’ mean absolute deviations (MAD) and their distributions in this interactive tutorial.

Type: Original Student Tutorial

Perspectives Video: Experts

Statistical Sampling Results in setting Legal Catch Rate:

Fish Ecologist, Dean Grubbs, discusses how using statistical sampling can help determine legal catch rates for fish that may be endangered.

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Assessment of Antarctic Ice Sheet Movement Rate by Sediment Core Sampling:

<p>Eugene Domack, a geological oceanographer, describes how sediment cores are collected and used to estimate rates of&nbsp;ice sheet movement in Antarctica.&nbsp;Video funded by&nbsp;NSF&nbsp;grant #:&nbsp;OCE-1502753.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Mathematically Modeling Hurricanes:

<p>Entrepreneur and meteorologist Mark Powell discusses the need for statistics in his mathematical modeling program to help better understand hurricanes.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Mathematically Exploring the Wakulla Caves:

The tide is high! How can we statistically prove there is a relationship between the tides on the Gulf Coast and in a fresh water spring 20 miles from each other?

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

MicroGravity Sensors & Statistics:

Statistical analysis played an essential role in using microgravity sensors to determine location of caves in Wakulla County.

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Using Statistics to Estimate Lionfish Population Size:

<p>It's impossible to count every animal in a park, but with statistics and some engineering, biologists can come up with a good estimate.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Tow Net Sampling to Monitor Phytoplankton Populations:

<p>How do scientists collect information from the world? They sample it! Learn how scientists take samples of phytoplankton not only to monitor their populations, but also to make inferences about the rest of the ecosystem!</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiasts

Field Sampling with the Point-centered Quarter Method:

In this video, Jim Cox describes a sampling method for estimating the density of dead trees in a forest ecosystem.

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Nestle Waters & Statistical Analysis:

<p>Hydrogeologist&nbsp;from Nestle Waters discusses the importance&nbsp;of statistical tests in monitoring&nbsp;sustainability and in maintaining consistent&nbsp;water quality in bottled water.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Fishery Independent vs Dependent Sampling Methods for Fishery Management:

<p>NOAA&nbsp;Scientist Doug Devries discusses the differences between fishery independent surveys and fishery independent surveys. &nbsp;Discussion&nbsp;includes trap sampling as well as camera sampling. Using&nbsp;graphs to show changes in population of red snapper.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Sample Size and Shark Research:

<p>Deep sea shark researcher, Chip Cotton, discusses the need for a Power Analysis to determine the critical sample size in order to make inferences on how oil spills affect shark populations.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Camera versus Trap Sampling: Improving how NOAA Samples Fish :

<p>Underwater sampling with cameras has made fishery management more accurate for NOAA&nbsp;scientists.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Making Inferences about Wetland Population Sizes:

<p>This ecologist from the Coastal Plains Institute discusses sampling techniques that are used to gather data to make statistical inferences about amphibian populations in the wetlands of the Apalachicola National Forest.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Random Sampling to Estimate Wildlife Populations:

<p>Dr. Bill McShea from the Smithsonian Institution discusses sampling and inference in the study of wildlife populations.</p> <p>This video was created in collaboration with the Okaloosa County SCIENCE Partnership, including the Smithsonian Institution and Harvard University.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Sampling Bird Populations to Track Environmental Restoration:

<p>Sometimes scientists conduct a census, too! Learn how population sampling can help monitor the progress of an ecological restoration project.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Perspectives Video: Teaching Ideas

Pitfall Trap Classroom Activity:

<p>Patrick&nbsp;Milligan&nbsp;shares a teaching idea for collecting insect samples.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Teaching Idea

Quadrat Sampling M&M Lesson:

<p>This teacher explains how a 3D-printed quadrat can be used with an M&amp;M sampling lesson to engage students when they explore how to use data from a random sample to draw inferences about a population.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Teaching Idea

Collecting Population Data: "What Lives in the Wetland?":

Want an unforgettable field trip led by a real scientist where your students get hands-on experience with collecting population data? Consider the "" educational program from Remote Footprints.

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.

Type: Perspectives Video: Teaching Idea

Problem-Solving Tasks

Don’t Spill the Beans!:

The purpose of this task is for students to make a hypothesis, and then doing an experiment to test each students hypothesis. Students will collect and record their data, use graphical methods to describe their data, and finally analyze and interpret their results in the context of the activity.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Mr. Brigg's Class Likes Math:

In a poll of Mr. Briggs's math class, 67% of the students say that math is their favorite academic subject. The editor of the school paper is in the class, and he wants to write an article for the paper saying that math is the most popular subject at the school. Explain why this is not a valid conclusion and suggest a way to gather better data to determine what subject is most popular.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Election Poll, Variation 3:

This task introduces the fundamental statistical ideas of using data summaries (statistics) from random samples to draw inferences (reasoned conclusions) about population characteristics (parameters). In the task built around an election poll scenario, the population is the entire seventh grade class, the unknown characteristic (parameter) of interest is the proportion of the class members voting for a specific candidate, and the sample summary (statistic) is the observed proportion of voters favoring the candidate in a random sample of class members. Variation 3 introduces technology and encourages students to use a random number generator or statistics software to generate a random sample of student responses and to simulate a distribution of sample proportions from a population with 50% successes.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Estimating the Mean State Area:

The task is designed to show that random samples produce distributions of sample means that center at the population mean, and that the variation in the sample means will decrease noticeably as the sample size increases.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Election Poll, Variation 2:

This task introduces the fundamental statistical ideas of using data summaries (statistics) from random samples to draw inferences (reasoned conclusions) about population characteristics (parameters). In the task built around an election poll scenario, the population is the entire seventh grade class, the unknown characteristic (parameter) of interest is the proportion of the class members voting for a specific candidate, and the sample summary (statistic) is the observed proportion of voters favoring the candidate in a random sample of class members. Variation 2 leads students through a physical simulation for generating sample proportions by sampling, and re-sampling, marbles from a box.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Election Poll, Variation 1:

This task introduces the fundamental statistical ideas of using data summaries (statistics) from random samples to draw inferences (reasoned conclusions) about population characteristics (parameters). There are two important goals in this task: seeing the need for random sampling and using randomization to investigate the behavior of a sample statistic. These introduce the basic ideas of statistical inference and can be accomplished with minimal knowledge of probability.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Text Resource

Cell Phone Ownership Hits 91% of Adults:

This informational text resource is intended to support reading in the content area. A Pew Research Center survey indicates that cell phone ownership is at an all-time high, with 91% of Americans owning a cell phone in 2013. Statistical tests show that cell phone usage is significantly higher in men, college-educated people, the wealthy, and those living in urban/suburban areas. This rise in ownership is associated with a variety of positive impacts of cell phone use, but previous research shows there are several negative impressions and impacts of cell phones as well.

Type: Text Resource

Virtual Manipulative

Plinko Probability:

The students will play a classic game from a popular show. Through this they can explore the probability that the ball will land on each of the numbers and discover that more accurate results coming from repeated testing. The simulation can be adjusted to influence fairness and randomness of the results.

Type: Virtual Manipulative

Student Resources

Vetted resources students can use to learn the concepts and skills in this topic.

Original Student Tutorial

Exploring Mean Absolute Deviation: Lionfish:

Compare multiple samples of lionfish to make generalizations about the population by analyzing the samples’ mean absolute deviations (MAD) and their distributions in this interactive tutorial.

Type: Original Student Tutorial

Perspectives Video: Experts

Mathematically Exploring the Wakulla Caves:

The tide is high! How can we statistically prove there is a relationship between the tides on the Gulf Coast and in a fresh water spring 20 miles from each other?

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

MicroGravity Sensors & Statistics:

Statistical analysis played an essential role in using microgravity sensors to determine location of caves in Wakulla County.

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Using Statistics to Estimate Lionfish Population Size:

<p>It's impossible to count every animal in a park, but with statistics and some engineering, biologists can come up with a good estimate.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Tow Net Sampling to Monitor Phytoplankton Populations:

<p>How do scientists collect information from the world? They sample it! Learn how scientists take samples of phytoplankton not only to monitor their populations, but also to make inferences about the rest of the ecosystem!</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Sampling Bird Populations to Track Environmental Restoration:

<p>Sometimes scientists conduct a census, too! Learn how population sampling can help monitor the progress of an ecological restoration project.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Problem-Solving Tasks

Mr. Brigg's Class Likes Math:

In a poll of Mr. Briggs's math class, 67% of the students say that math is their favorite academic subject. The editor of the school paper is in the class, and he wants to write an article for the paper saying that math is the most popular subject at the school. Explain why this is not a valid conclusion and suggest a way to gather better data to determine what subject is most popular.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Election Poll, Variation 2:

This task introduces the fundamental statistical ideas of using data summaries (statistics) from random samples to draw inferences (reasoned conclusions) about population characteristics (parameters). In the task built around an election poll scenario, the population is the entire seventh grade class, the unknown characteristic (parameter) of interest is the proportion of the class members voting for a specific candidate, and the sample summary (statistic) is the observed proportion of voters favoring the candidate in a random sample of class members. Variation 2 leads students through a physical simulation for generating sample proportions by sampling, and re-sampling, marbles from a box.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Election Poll, Variation 1:

This task introduces the fundamental statistical ideas of using data summaries (statistics) from random samples to draw inferences (reasoned conclusions) about population characteristics (parameters). There are two important goals in this task: seeing the need for random sampling and using randomization to investigate the behavior of a sample statistic. These introduce the basic ideas of statistical inference and can be accomplished with minimal knowledge of probability.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Virtual Manipulative

Plinko Probability:

The students will play a classic game from a popular show. Through this they can explore the probability that the ball will land on each of the numbers and discover that more accurate results coming from repeated testing. The simulation can be adjusted to influence fairness and randomness of the results.

Type: Virtual Manipulative

Parent Resources

Vetted resources caregivers can use to help students learn the concepts and skills in this topic.

Perspectives Video: Experts

Using Statistics to Estimate Lionfish Population Size:

<p>It's impossible to count every animal in a park, but with statistics and some engineering, biologists can come up with a good estimate.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Tow Net Sampling to Monitor Phytoplankton Populations:

<p>How do scientists collect information from the world? They sample it! Learn how scientists take samples of phytoplankton not only to monitor their populations, but also to make inferences about the rest of the ecosystem!</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Sampling Bird Populations to Track Environmental Restoration:

<p>Sometimes scientists conduct a census, too! Learn how population sampling can help monitor the progress of an ecological restoration project.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Professional/Enthusiast

Problem-Solving Tasks

Mr. Brigg's Class Likes Math:

In a poll of Mr. Briggs's math class, 67% of the students say that math is their favorite academic subject. The editor of the school paper is in the class, and he wants to write an article for the paper saying that math is the most popular subject at the school. Explain why this is not a valid conclusion and suggest a way to gather better data to determine what subject is most popular.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Election Poll, Variation 2:

This task introduces the fundamental statistical ideas of using data summaries (statistics) from random samples to draw inferences (reasoned conclusions) about population characteristics (parameters). In the task built around an election poll scenario, the population is the entire seventh grade class, the unknown characteristic (parameter) of interest is the proportion of the class members voting for a specific candidate, and the sample summary (statistic) is the observed proportion of voters favoring the candidate in a random sample of class members. Variation 2 leads students through a physical simulation for generating sample proportions by sampling, and re-sampling, marbles from a box.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Election Poll, Variation 1:

This task introduces the fundamental statistical ideas of using data summaries (statistics) from random samples to draw inferences (reasoned conclusions) about population characteristics (parameters). There are two important goals in this task: seeing the need for random sampling and using randomization to investigate the behavior of a sample statistic. These introduce the basic ideas of statistical inference and can be accomplished with minimal knowledge of probability.

Type: Problem-Solving Task