MA.912.DP.5.4

Generate multiple samples or simulated samples of the same size to measure the variation in estimates or predictions.
General Information
Subject Area: Mathematics (B.E.S.T.)
Grade: 912
Strand: Data Analysis and Probability
Status: State Board Approved

Benchmark Instructional Guide

Connecting Benchmarks/Horizontal Alignment

 

Terms from the K-12 Glossary

  • Data 
  • Population (in data analysis) 
  • Random sampling

Vertical Alignment

Previous Benchmarks

Next Benchmarks

Purpose and Instructional Strategies

In grade 6, students learned how to calculate the mean and median for numerical data, and they explored how changing values affects the center and variation of numerical data. In grade 7, students experimented with using simulations and comparing the centers and spreads of data. In Mathematics for College Statistics, students combine these middle grades ideas with other benchmarks in this course to examine simulated random samples and naturally occurring sampling variation. 
  • Instruction relates to benchmark MA.912.DP.5.3
  • Instruction includes students randomly sampling from small populations and large populations in order to compare the differences in statistics. With larger populations, it is recommended that students use technology to generate samples. 
  • Instruction includes using a variety of random sampling techniques, such as simple random, systematic, cluster and stratified sampling to reinforce previous benchmarks. 
  • In cluster samples, groups should be heterogeneous. In stratified samples, groups should be homogeneous. 
  • Students should note the variation in statistics from sample to sample and the variation of sample statistics to the population parameters. As well, learners should consider how to reconcile the differences that are seen in population parameters and sample statistics. 
  • When generating samples, it is important that the sample size is consistent. This allows for a better comparison and relates to the future statistical topic of standard error. 
  • Instruction includes a discussion on sampling with and without replacement.

Common Misconceptions or Errors

  • Students may incorrectly assume that all samples of the same size from the same population will produce the same statistics. 
  • Students may incorrectly assume that sample statistics will always match population parameters. 
  • Students may use convenience samples when generating their own data. These convenience samples can lead to biased results. 
  • Students may confuse cluster sampling and stratified sampling.

Instructional Tasks

Instructional Task 1 (MTR.7.1
  • A teacher is interested in the morning commute times of the students in his homeroom class. The teacher finds out that his students drive, walk, ride or bus from home to school each morning. The results of asking all of his homeroom students “How long did it take you to commute from home to school this morning?” is below. The times are all in minutes. 

  • Consider this homeroom of students as a population. Some parameters are that the mean morning commute time is 16.5 minutes, 10% of students drive, 13.3% of students walk, 43.4% of students bus to school and 33.3% of students ride to school each day. 
    • Part A. Use technology to generate a simple random sample of six students from the population above. Record the sample mean and the proportions of students who drive, walk, bus, and ride to school. 
    • Part B. Use technology to generate another simple random sample six of students from the population above. Record the sample mean and the proportions of students who drive, walk, bus, and ride to school. 
    • Part C. How do the sample means and proportions from the two samples compare? 
    • Part D. Use technology to generate a systematic random sample of six students from the population above. Record the sample mean and the proportions of students who drive, walk, bus and ride to school. 
    • Part E. How do your systematic sample results compare to the results of your first two samples? 
    • Part F. How do all of your sample statistics compare to the population parameters? Is there any variation?

Instructional Items

Instructional Item 1 
  • All seniors planning to attend college in a graduating class at a smaller Florida high school are surveyed to find out their intended majors. The results are in the table below. 


  • Part A. Use technology to generate a simple random sample of 12 students from the population above. Record the proportion of business majors. 
  • Part B. Again, use technology to generate a simple random sample of 12 students from the population above and record the proportion of business majors. 
  • Part C. How did the proportions of business majors compare from the two samples above? Is there any variation?

*The strategies, tasks and items included in the B1G-M are examples and should not be considered comprehensive.

Related Courses

This benchmark is part of these courses.
1210300: Probability and Statistics Honors (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2019, 2019 - 2022, 2022 - 2024, 2024 and beyond (current))
1210305: Mathematics for College Statistics (Specifically in versions: 2022 - 2024, 2024 and beyond (current))

Related Access Points

Alternate version of this benchmark for students with significant cognitive disabilities.

Related Resources

Vetted resources educators can use to teach the concepts and skills in this benchmark.

Lesson Plans

Comparing Data Using Box Plots:

Students will use box plots to compare two or more sets of data. They will analyze data in context by comparing the box plots of two or more data sets.

Type: Lesson Plan

Exploring Box plots:

This lesson involves real-world data situations. Students will use the data to create, explore, and compare the key components of a box plot.

Type: Lesson Plan

Perspectives Video: Experts

Carbon Foam and Geometry:

<p>Carbon can take many forms, including foam! Learn more about how geometry and the Monte Carlo Method is important in understanding it.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Improving Hurricane Modeling by Reducing Systematic Errors:

<p>This FSU professor discusses the limitations and need for improvement to models used to forecast hurricanes.</p>

Type: Perspectives Video: Expert

Problem-Solving Tasks

Why Randomize?:

This task requires students to estimate the mean (average) area of the population of 100 rectangles using the average area of a sample of 5 rectangles. Students are asked to make one estimate using a judgement sample and another using a random sample of the population. Finally, students are asked to consider bias in sampling methods.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Estimating the Mean State Area:

The task is designed to show that random samples produce distributions of sample means that center at the population mean, and that the variation in the sample means will decrease noticeably as the sample size increases.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

Text Resource

How to Win at Rock-Paper-Scissors:

This informational text resource is intended to support reading in the content area. This article describes a new study about the game rock-paper-scissors. The study reveals that people do not play randomly; there are patterns and hidden psychology players frequently use. Understanding these potential moves can help a player increase their winning edge. As part of interpreting the results of the study, the article references the Nash equilibrium and the "win-stay lose-shift" strategy.

Type: Text Resource

Student Resources

Vetted resources students can use to learn the concepts and skills in this benchmark.

Parent Resources

Vetted resources caregivers can use to help students learn the concepts and skills in this benchmark.